A Nerd Girl's Perspective

My Thoughts on News, Politics, Food, Crafting, Geek Culture, Sociology, and Much More —— Courtney C Horne

Tag: political strategy

Open Letter to Gov. Cuomo

Governor Cuomo,

You want to run for president in 2016. Don’t act coy. We all know you are going to run. And if neither Clinton or Biden runs, things don’t look bad for you in current polling. So let me give you a piece of advice on strategy.

Don’t pick a fight with Anthony Weiner. When I read your “shame on us” remark... all I could think was “oh dear god, that was stupid.” You can call it a joke, but the damage is done already- you can’t unsay it.

And Anthony Weiner isn’t know for his calm-level headed behavior. Right now, he isn’t very powerful. A disgraced former congressman. He still has some power thanks to his considerable influence with in parts of the democratic party, but that is nothing compared to the potential.

If he wins the mayor race, Weiner will become a very, very powerful man. In fact, he will be a considerable more powerful man than he was prior to his resignation from congress. And if he decides to hold a grudge, possibly a powerful enough man to derail your presidential primary efforts. He could make your life hard as governor and damage your chances that way or he could use the huge influence of being a mayor of a city with more people than many states to derail you. Either way, you could get hurt badly, and that is before his wife gets involved.

Huma Abedin is a power player in her own right. With her close relationship with the Clintons, she could potentially hold sway in the primary. Or in the case of a Hillary nomination, she could nudge your name lower down the VP list. I am assuming here that she wants her husband to become mayor, but I am guessing that is a pretty safe assumption.

So what can you do now that you have likely pissed off someone who could potentially become very powerful in very short order? Well, I think it is time to make nice. Apologize to Weiner for the remark personally. Plus, make some sort of public statement about the remark being a joke in poor judgement and that of course you support the democratic candidate for mayor as chosen by the primary- including if that candidate is Weiner.

Or not. I mean it is up to you. But you have a presidential primary campaign to think about and not having a powerful, renowned hot head in your party pissed off at you, well that is probably the safer choice.

Up to you though.

A Political Strategy Nerd

P.S. No jokes about his name either- that won’t help you salvage the relationship any.



How to Turn Louisiana into a Swing State

Louisiana? A Swing State?

The state went for Clinton both times. It isn’t just because Arkansas is Louisiana’s ridiculous white trucker hat. Louisiana has a rich history of populism which I think Clinton tapped into. The state can be a swing state. It would take work and organization but it can happen.

Where do you start? With the turn-out. The turn out is pathetic and generally high turn out is better for the democrats and worse for the GOP.

The demographics seem to suggest that a high turn out and a good ground game could make it into a swing state. According to the 2010 US census, the population of Louisiana was White – 62.6% (60.3% non-Hispanic white), Black or African American – 32.0%, Hispanic or Latino (of any race) – 4.2%, Asian – 1.5% (0.6% Vietnamese, 0.2% Chinese, 0.2% Indian, 0.1% Korean, 0.1% Filipino), Native American – 0.7%, and Two or more races – 1.6%.

African American 32%, Hispanic -4.2%… Those groups both lean strongly to the democratic party.

They are also groups that tend to have a low turnout. If the democratic party could fix that turnout problem? They could start gaining traction in the state.

The first step to fixing this problem is to increase early voting days and hours. More early voting means more turnout. Particularly to increase black turn out it would help a lot if there was early voting on the Sunday before election day. Do that and then work closely with the black churches to “bring souls to the polls.”

Once you have a turn-out boost and more traction, you need to address felon disenfranchisement as this disproportionately effects black males in our state. For the same crime, a black guy is more likely to be charged with a felony that a white guy. Making it where they can vote soon after finishing serving time in prison would help reduce the amount of the black population that has been disenfranchised by our school to prison pipeline and “war on drugs.” Felon disenfranchisement is no accident, the GOP uses it to help disenfranchise minority voters.

We also need to address voter ID requirements which are another way the GOP in our state has disenfranchised minorities.

Neither of those two disenfranchisement issues can be addressed without some initial traction which has to come about through a strong ground game and a push for higher turn-out which would be greatly helped by extended early voting.

Once you have a strong minority voting base, you can start to strengthen and broaden your coalition to turn Louisiana blue.

My next step? Getting rid of right to work. Loudly use the phrase “right to work for less with no benefits.”  Aggressively campaign to bring the unions back to our blue collar state. A strong union presence combined with a minority base would make the state into a powerful coalition for the democratic party.

A bonus step? Reform the laws effecting our state workers able to participate in politics.  Currently we have the most restrictive limits for state workers in any state. The state workers are likely to lean a little blue since the GOP likes to demonize government workers. As a result reducing and reforming those restrictions on worker’s speech is likely to be good for the democratic party.

This would all cost money and time, but I think there is a route to blue or swing status in Louisiana’s future.